Addi-Sports: The Addiction

Tennessee (+2) over NEW YORK JETS
HOUSTON (-4) over Jacksonville
PHILADELPHIA (-7 1/2) over Kansas City
BALTIMORE (-13 1/2) over Cleveland
New York Giants (-6 1/2) over TAMPA BAY
Washington (-6 1/2) over DETROIT
Green Bay (-6 1/2) over ST. LOUIS
San Francisco (+7) over MINNESOTA
Atlanta (+4 1/2) over NEW ENGLAND
SEATTLE (+2 1/2) over Chicago
New Orleans (-6) over BUFFALO
SAN DIEGO (-5) over Miami
OAKLAND (-2) over Denver
Indianapolis (+3) over ARIZONA
DALLAS (-8 1/2) over Carolina

Last Week: 10-6
Season: 19-13

Oakland (+3) over KANSAS CITY

I’ve completely changed my mind about the Raiders in one week. I think their relatively strong finish last year (3-3) was a sign that they wouldn’t be the pushovers that everyone expected. Oh sure, they’ll find a way to lose most games, but this team is on the right track. If only they had drafted Brady Quinn. I say the Raiders cover and win here.

TENNESSEE (-6 1/2) over Houston

Houston is god-awful, and the Titans covered for me last week. The Jets, with a rookie quarterback, beat the crap out of them on their home field. Now they go to Tennessee. Good luck with that. I would’ve taken the Titans -14.

New England (-4) over NEW YORK JETS

Why do the Patriots bother to win if they’re not going to win big? Save the last second heroics for the postseason, fellas. I gotta take em again though, figuring Belichick will harass and confuse the hell out of Mark Sanchez. Brady looked a little cautious early on in his first real game back from injury. That offense got rolling as the game went on, and that will carry into week two.

Cincinnati (+9) over GREEN BAY

I’m one of the few that still sees the Bengals of three years ago with a high-powered offense. That was a long time ago. I’m still not ready to change my view. I’ll give em one more week. I don’t expect them to win, but let’s say it’s a 28-24 win for the Packers.

DETROIT (+10) over Minnesota

The Lions are going to win this game. I guarantee it. Or at least, they won’t lose by 10 or more. Yeah, that much I guarantee. They’re due for a win (obviously) and even though that’s a lame reason to pick a team, sometimes that’s the way things happen in the NFL. They should get run over, Minnesota should cover the spread, but I’m going to assume that some crazy, lucky shit happens for the Lions instead.

New Orleans (+1) over PHILADELPHIA

I love this pick almost as much as I loved picking against the Eagles last week, and I was about 40 points off on that one. The Saints going to show how bad this Philly defense can be when they don’t have Jake Delhomme’s eight turnovers. McNabb had some 70 yards passing as they put up 38 points. That’s a deceiving total. Whether he plays or not, New Orleans wins this one.

Carolina (+6 1/2) over ATLANTA

The Lions are due for a win, and Delhomme is due for a game with three or less turnovers, isn’t he? He can’t do this every week, even if that means he has to get benched to knock it off. I’d have more confidence in recently acquired A.J. Feeley right now. The Panthers are going to get a big running game going and Delhomme cuts out the turnovers. He might have only 50 yards passing, but if he doesn’t throw five picks then I’m fine with that.

WASHINGTON (-10) over St. Louis

I don’t think Washington is all that good, but I do think the Rams are that bad. They better get used to being huge underdogs.

JACKSONVILLE (-3) over Arizona

Super Bowl hangover continues for the Cardinals. They’ll be lucky to go 7-9 this year.

Seattle (+1 1/2) over SAN FRANCISCO

Another favorite pick of mine. Seattle is so underrated right now. Does nobody remember when they were holding open tryouts for receivers because of all the injuries? Now they’ve got em all back and added Houshmandzadeh (spelled it right on the first try). They’re going to win this division, and it would be wise to take these bets before everyone else realizes it.

BUFFALO (-4 1/2) over Tampa Bay

The Bills deserve it after a heart-breaking loss to open the season. Most importantly, they showed what they were capable of in nearly beating the Patriots. Had Leodis McKelvin kneeled down for a touchback, they would’ve had it. Things will be a little easier against Tampa.

Cleveland (+3) over DENVER

And the Broncos don’t deserve it. I hate hearing that Kyle Orton is 1-0 and Jay Cutler is 0-1, even though we all know who outplayed who.

Baltimore (+3) over SAN DIEGO

It’s always tough early on to know whether a team like the Chargers played a terrible game or if the Raiders played their best game. I was pretty impressed with Oakland, so I’m assuming that the Chargers will struggle like they did last year. Going 8-8 in the worst division in football and winning one playoff game shouldn’t make you a trendy pick for the Super Bowl. The Ravens defense should shut down the Chargers.

CHICAGO (+3) over Pittsburgh

I like the home field advantage in Chicago, and they did cover for me in week one. This is another one that should at least stay close, but they’ve got a better chance of winning with a need to not go 0-2. They might even find a way to put Roethlisberger out of the game. What worries me is if Aaron Rodgers can have that comeback touchdown, how easy will it be for Ben?

DALLAS (-3) over New York Giants

No way the Cowboys lose their first game in their new stadium. Of course, I said the same thing about their last game in their last stadium, but this time they’ve got a big ass TV to distract the other team.

Indianapolis (-3) over MIAMI

Not sure why this line is so low. The Colts edged out a win over the Jaguars, but that’s always been a tough game for them. They shouldn’t have a problem with a Miami team that was most likely a fluke last year.

Last week: 9-7
Season: 9-7

PITTSBURGH (-6) over Tennesse
ATLANTA (-4) over Miami
BALTIMORE (-13) over Kansas City
Philadelphia (-1) over CAROLINA
CINCINNATI (-4) over Denver
Minnesota (-4) over CLEVELAND
HOUSTON (-4 1/2) over New York Jets
INDIANAPOLIS (-4) over Jacksonville
NEW ORLEANS (-13) over Detroit
Dallas (-6) over TAMPA BAY
San Francisco (+6 1/2) over ARIZONA
NEW YORK GIANTS (-6 1/2) over Washington
SEATTLE (-8) over St. Louis
NEW ENGLAND (-11) over Buffalo
SAN DIEGO (-9 1/2) over Oakland
GREEN BAY (-3 1/2) over Chicago

Tennessee Titans (+6) over PITTSBURGH

I picked the Titans first overall to win the Super Bowl, so I should probably take them to at least cover the spread in week 1. The Titans beat the Steelers in the regular season last year, and their defense is good enough to keep this game close. Pittsburgh’s offense isn’t explosive enough to cover this spread.

ATLANTA (-4) over Miami

Matt Ryan is going to be a stud in his second year. He’s going to be right up there with the Peyton Mannings of the league. Miami, meanwhile, was likely a fluke success story last season. They’ll come back down to earth. No way Chad Pennington outplays Ryan in the opener.

Kansas City (+13) over BALTIMORE

Baltimore’s offense should be improved with Joe Flacco in his second year, but I hesitate to pick them by two touchdowns. Kansas City has to be better than last year (2-14) and added a solid quarterback in Matt Cassel. Chiefs will lose, but not by that much.

CAROLINA (+1) over Philadelphia

Love that I don’t have to pick the Eagles already. Carolina was a damn good team last year, and for some reason aren’t getting much respect this year. I’m still not sure why people continue loving the Eagles. Panthers will run all over them with DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart.

CINCINNATI (-4) over Denver

Forget Kyle Orton, the Broncos defense is god-awful, and I’m expecting a bounce back year for Carson Palmer and Chad Ochocinco. They’re going to torch Denver. Orton won’t be as bad as people think, but he’s not the quarterback you want digging you out of a hole each and every week.

Minnesota (-4) over CLEVELAND

The Browns are on their way up with Brady Quinn at quarterback, but they’ve lost Kellen Winslow on offense and still haven’t done anything to help their defense. Good luck stopping Adrian Peterson, Chester Taylor and whoever plays quarterback for the Vikings.

HOUSTON (-4 1/2) over New York Jets

Not sold on the idea that the Texans will finally make the playoffs this season, or that Matt Schaub isn’t Mr. Glass, but a home game against a rookie quarterback is a great way to start the season.

Jacksonville (+7) over INDIANAPOLIS

The Colts will be much better than the Jags this season, but I’m thinking it takes them a few weeks to really get rolling. Jacksonville doesn’t have a great team, but they’re always a tough win, especially for Indy. Pounding Maurice Jones-Drew will keep this game close.

NEW ORLEANS (-13) over Detroit

Again, a home game against a rookie quarterback is a great way to start the season. When that team was winless last season, it’s even better. Keep the losing streak going, there’s no chance of Detroit slowing down the Saints offense.

Dallas (-6) over TAMPA BAY

Pretty reasonable spread for how much the Cowboys are being counted out by everybody. New coach, new defensive coordinator, no Derrick Brooks and Byron Leftwich starting at quarterback, I don’t see how the Cowboys lose this one. They should cover this one easily.

San Francisco (+6 1/2) over ARIZONA

Cardinals will win, but Niners will keep it close. Arizona was never a dominant team until the playoffs last year. Kurt Warner is another year older and San Francisco’s defense keeps getting better. I’m not buying that Shaun Hill is their savior, but I don’t want to give Arizona too much credit early in the season.

Washington (+6 1/2) over NEW YORK GIANTS

I see the Redskins in last place in the NFC East yet again, but the loss of Plaxico Burress really hurts the Giants offense and leaves them without a true No. 1 receiver. I’m not even sure Steve Smith can be a No. 2. New York’s rushing attack should be one of the best, but that’s not going to be enough to beat the Skins by 7.

SEATTLE (-8) over St. Louis

I’m extremely high on the Seahawks this year. I think they’ll destroy the NFC West, and it starts with the lowly Rams. This is a blowout win at home to set the tone for that division.

Chicago (+3 1/2) over GREEN BAY

Wow. This is the toughest game to call. I have no confidence in my pick. I like both of these teams to be contenders in the NFC.

NEW ENGLAND (-11) over Buffalo

Adding T.O. was not nearly enough to help the Bills. I see no reason the Pats can’t run through everybody again with Tom Brady healthy. I’m not sold on Trent Edwards, and firing your offensive coordinator a couple weeks before the season is bad, bad sign.

San Diego (-9 1/2) over OAKLAND

Al Davis sucks.